“Heatmap of Daily Case Trajectories of Bangladesh”

A ray of light amidst the darkness: The daily updates of the newly confirmed Covid-19 cases portray a very generalized image which, at a glance, depicts a worsening situation in every districts of Bangladesh. However, if considered on a smaller scale of district level, it can be seen that the numbers of confirmed Covid-19 cases in several districts have already reached a peak and have started to decline.

The heatmap shows district-wise trajectories of confirmed COVID-19 cases from March 8 to May 6 in Bangladesh, inspired by similar plots for English Local Authorities from @VictimOfMaths. The heatmap represents the 5-day rolling average of the number of new confirmed cases, normalized to the maximum value within the districts. The districts are ordered by the date on which they reached their peak number of new cases. Here 0 represents the minimum and 1 represents the highest cases of Covid-19 confirmed in a particular district.

It can be predicted that the districts at the bottom of the heatmap, such as Gazipur, Lasmipur, Kishoreganj and Narsingdi, have already seen the worse of the disease and it’ll be only a matter of time until the number declines steadily.

Check our heatmap to keep track of Covid-19 situation in Bangladesh.